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Eval suite size

Find how many eval cases you need for a pass rate to be precise enough to act on.

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How it's worked out

  • n = z² × p(1 − p) ÷ margin². Two-version comparison uses the two-proportion sample size at 80% power
  • Independent cases; normal approximation
NoteSmall eval sets give noisy pass rates: with 100 cases, a 5-point change can be chance. Running the same cases on both versions, as in the regression check, needs fewer.

Source: Standard sample size formulas (Fleiss, Statistical Methods for Rates and Proportions)

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