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Regression model error

Measure prediction error for a numeric model: MAE, RMSE, R² and bias.

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Data & analytics

How it's worked out

  • RMSE = √(Σe² ÷ n). MAE = Σ|e| ÷ n. R² = 1 − SSE ÷ SST
  • Errors from a hold-out set, not training data
NoteRMSE punishes large errors more than MAE. Compare against a naive baseline, such as the mean.

Source: Hyndman and Athanasopoulos, Forecasting: Principles and Practice; standard definitions

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