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Cash forecast variance

Compare forecast and actual cash flow by period to see accuracy and bias.

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Finance & unit economics

How it's worked out

  • Accuracy = 1 − Σ|forecast − actual| ÷ Σ|actual|. Bias = Σ(forecast − actual)
  • Weighted absolute percentage error across periods
NotePersistent bias matters more than single misses: it means the forecast method, not luck, is off.

Source: AFP treasury cash forecasting guides

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